Friday, July 05, 2013

Egypt slips into quagmire



It is very likely that it could get really bad from here. I am quite an admirer of people in Egypt who are vocal about their rights and representation.  Unfortunately though, the passion in the street is not met with subtleties of the systems in place. If the elected government blatantly introduces changes in Constitution, there were no checks in place. It must have been dealt at the Legislative level, if not the Judiciary should have intervened and preempted the slide. Indian experience on these matters could have been a valuable example that could have been emulated to keep the sanctity of the institutions.  In Egypt a serious transgression has happened and has set a very wrong precedence, it will be regretted for a long time to come. Religion, in a country where most people follow, should have a space, provided it doesn’t impede into others right, if ever it need to be handled politically as also within the framework of law. Institutions should be respected and necessarily reflect aspirations of people. Army cannot impose it’s will, even in the name of people, it’s a dangerous development. It’s a failure of judiciary to safeguard the constitution in Egypt, first by the President now by the Army.   

People protest in Tahrir square against the Mubarak regime had repercussions across the world and was surely a landmark event in the world history. It is a benchmark for ruthless regimes, a lesson for all. It should have been a foundation for a vibrant democracy and prosperity with people participation. 

Egypt unfortunately couldn’t keep up the promise, the higher echelons of society including the Army is pushing the country into precipice. The “coup” has put the country in serious crisis, it looks like something quite extra ordinary could save things from here. If the society at this point is multipolarised, very soon it will coalesce into deeply fractured extreme sections: the Army and the Fundamentalist, both section not known for virtues of discussion (indeed it is neither the mandate of the Army nor the way it is trained, the reason why it has to be under civilian authority for democracy to flourish) or application of peaceful means for negotiation, that can put strong foundation of democracy. Both sections are armed, organized and has the potential for massive destruction. This also needs to be put in context of opportunists across the border of the increasingly fragile region, including the arms dealers, Islamists, neo-colonial forces, western powers for strategic gains so on.  Most people will have to either move out or take sides, as things will get violent. People protests works in the framework of non violence.  It seems the country is reaching the fringe. This seem to be the narration of most societies in the region, as elite section refuse to relinquish power and perks, they are so used to, and end up pushing the country into violence and chaos, either they try to capitalize on dying or else are the first people to flee to safer havens and continue their ‘struggle’, mostly in the luxury of Europe as champions of democracy. People protesting and struggling on the street will soon be pushed into extreme misery. Nobody will like such an eventuality to befall on an important nation like Egypt, but it seems to be a distinct possibility. Time is running out in Cairo…