Climate change is sharply spiking temperature
across the globe in the last few years -despite cooling La Nina, the situation
is spiraling at an alarming rate with El Nino consolidation. With ocean absorbing additional heat from global warming El Nino is becoming intense. As you can see suddenly
monsoon rains have vanished, and if ever erratic, intense, lasting for short
period, and then the sky is clear as ever. Rain these days carry ominous threat
of deluge. Rain no longer is languorous drizzle that invites for a long walk among
the rain soaked trees, cycling along brimming rain carpeted oceans, boating in the backwater…rain
these days are dreadful possibilities of floods and landslides. Rain is harbinger of tragedies. Summer is heat wave.
There is El Nino consolidation happening
which is never good for Indian monsoon system (despite much complicated and complex
play of Indian Ocean Dipole IOD and Madden-Julian Oscillation MJO). With climate
change already heating the planet at unprecedented levels we are really
entering scary unchartered weather. Monsoon is expected to weaken over much
of Indian subcontinent which is going to have a serious impact on food security as
also water table. Summer, i.e. months of March to June 2024, is expected to have significant
heat waves (note even without El Nino impact this February was hottest -imagine
what is in store). Already Indian government have stopped rice export –this is cascading rice price in international market; China is stockpiling rice while Russians have collapsed grain basket Ukraine. So, El Nino will bring drought condition to much of Indian
subcontinent, some region will also see heavy rains -and as you can observe from the
map herein -the south tip of India specifically western ghats, Kerala, from
October to December. During last El Nino period (2015) Chennai witnessed deluge of the century. I am sure Union as well as the State governments are aware
of the unprecedented weather changes in the coming months as also
socio-economic impact. Scientists and activist youngsters (and
those connected to cradle of life) are warning us for some time now. Religion
and Market have kept us distracted in fantastical illusions and spurious entertainment,
very soon they will turn fatalist to keep herd riveted, while market will carry
on with grand narration to anesthetize common people meanwhile barricade
moneybags.
There is something sinister looming in the horizon. The wicked side
of mother nature is waking up after hundreds and thousands of years of peaceful
nurture. Whatever that ever mattered is at stake. There are no second chances. There is no Planet B. Ocean
is warming. Biodiversity is collapsing. Species are vanishing. This is an existential
emergency. WAKE UP.
